Financial Wire

EMEA Natural Gas Update: Futures Fall Over 2% After Trump Says Iran Wants to Make a Deal

-- European natural gas futures were down over 2% on Tuesday, erasing some of the previous session's gains, after US President Donald Trump said that Iran wants to make a deal "very badly," which allayed fears of a prolonged disruption in the region.

The front-month Dutch TTF contract dropped 2.47% to 45.26 euros ($53.30) per megawatt-hour, while UK NBP futures dropped 2.68% to 113.66 British pence ($1.53) per therm.

Speaking to reporters in the White House on Monday, Trump said that the "other side" had reached out to him seeking a deal, amid the US naval blockade against Iran.

Trump also claimed that 34 ships had sailed through the Strait of Hormuz, which he said was "the highest number" since the conflict began, in a Truth Social post on Monday.

This, however, falls short of the figures reported by the Hormuz Strait Monitor, with just 2 vessels passing through the crucial waterway over the past 24 hours, as it remained effectively closed for the seventh week running.

According to Daniel Hynes, a senior commodity strategist at ANZ, "the continued closure of the Strait raises the risk that the recovery of supplies will take much longer," while noting that resumption of output and supplies will be a long and drawn-out process, even if the Straits were to reopen right away.

This comes at a time when Europe has begun refilling inventories, with storage levels significantly depleted, at just 29.54% of capacity, compared to 35.35% last year, according to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe.

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