-- 週四早盤油價上漲，但仍穩守在每桶100美元以下，原因是市場寄望美國和伊朗延長停火協議並重啟談判，以結束中東戰爭。 5月交割的西德州中質原油期貨價格上漲0.43美元，至每桶91.72美元；6月交割的布蘭特原油期貨價格上漲0.95美元，至每桶95.88美元。 美國海軍封鎖了伊朗港口，而伊朗則繼續封鎖霍爾木茲海峽。然而，美國總統川普週三再次表示，他認為衝突即將結束，與此同時，巴基斯坦調解人繼續敦促兩國恢復談判。這些言論為結束這場戰爭帶來了一線希望，這場戰爭導致波斯灣國家每日20%的石油和天然氣需求無法被滿足。 供應衝擊對亞洲國家的影響最為嚴重，一些國家已開始實施配給制，同時推高了現貨供應的價格，目前油價已接近每桶150美元。 盛寶銀行指出：“由於有跡象表明美國和伊朗可能延長停火協議並重啟旨在結束這場戰爭的談判，油價趨於穩定。這場戰爭導致波斯灣關鍵大宗商品的全球供應中斷。這引發了嚴重的供應衝擊，其影響仍在全球範圍內持續擴大，目前相對平靜且低於每桶100美元的期貨價格並不能完全反映現貨市場的實際情況。”
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Oil & Energy
EMEA Oil Update: Crude Gains as US-Iran Talks Signals Offset Hormuz Closure
EMEA crude futures rose in after-hours trading on Thursday as the market weighed signs that the US and Iran may extend a ceasefire amid the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that has roiled global energy markets.Brent crude futures climbed by 2.46% to $93.52 per barrel, while Murban oil futures were up 0.63% to $101.48/bbl.Saxo Bank strategists said oil has steadied amid signs that the US and Iran may extend a ceasefire and restart talks aimed at ending a war that has choked global supplies of key Arabian Gulf commodities.US and Iranian negotiators are reportedly considering returning to Pakistan for further talks as early as the coming weekend. Pakistani army chief Asim Munir arrived in Tehran on Wednesday for talks to ease tensions in the Middle East and arrange a second round of US-Iran peace negotiations.However, the two sides are reportedly pivoting toward a temporary memorandum to avert renewed hostilities, scaling back ambitions for a comprehensive peace deal after talks in Islamabad ended without a breakthrough.Though US and Iranian mediators have signaled optimism regarding a de-escalation framework and resumption of talks, deep-seated friction over Iran's nuclear program continues to stall a final resolution."The oil market continues to edge lower amid hopes that the US and Iran extend their ceasefire by another 2 weeks, along with a potential resumption in talks to bring an end to the war," ING strategists said in a note on Thursday.The Middle East conflict has caused unprecedented disruption to global energy markets amid the double blockade of the Hormuz, a strategic waterway that typically carries about 20% of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas flows.ING analysts said the physical market is tightening by the day as each passing day without a restart of oil flows via the Strait.The analysts estimate that about 13 million barrels per day have been disrupted, and the figure could rise further with the US blockade.The US Central Command has imposed a blockade to cut off Iranian traffic, while Tehran keeps the strategic waterway closed to most other ships. Kpler strategists said vessel traffic via the Hormuz has increased from last month's unusually low levels, with crossings rising and activity extending across a broader mix of vessel types and cargoes.Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that Washington will not renew sanctions waivers for some Iranian and Russian oil. On Wednesday, the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control imposed penalties on a number of individuals, firms and vessels linked to Hossein Shamkhani.
Australia
Genius Group Closes $8 Million Registered Direct Offering
Genius Group (GNS) said Thursday it closed its registered direct offering of about 21.6 million ordinary shares, or pre-funded warrants, at $0.37 per share, for gross proceeds of $8 million.The company said it is using $5.5 million of the proceeds to acquire a senior secured convertible promissory note that is being immediately converted into a 9.9% equity stake in Jewel Financial, the sole shareholder of Jewel Bancorp, Bermuda's only dual-licensed digital bank.The proceeds are being used in connection with its previously announced plans to become a permitted payment stablecoin issuer and digital asset service provider, the company said.Additionally, Genius Group will issue 15 million shares at $0.40 per share as further consideration for the acquisition, as per the terms of the note purchase agreement.
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Asia Markets
Exchange-Traded Funds Mixed, US Equities Rise After Midday
Broad Market IndicatorsBroad-market exchange-traded funds IWM was softer while IVV gained. Actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) added 0.5%.US equity indexes were higher after midday Thursday after Israel and Lebanon agreed to a 10-day ceasefire, removing an obstacle to diplomacy in works to extend the Iran truce deal.EnergyIShares US Energy ETF (IYE) and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) each gained about 1.6%.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) was up 0.9%; iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) rose 0.7%, and iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) added 0.8%.The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) climbed 2%, and iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) was up 0.9%.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) slipped 0.1%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) declined 0.4%, and its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), climbed 0.3%.CommoditiesCrude oil fell 0.8%, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) advanced 3.8%. Natural gas rose 1.3%, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) added 1.2%.Gold on Comex eased 0.2%, and the State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) fell 0.1%. Silver shed 1.2%, and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) dipped 1%.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) gained 0.2%. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) added 0.1%, and iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods (IYK) was 0.2% higher.The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) eased 0.4%. VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was flat, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) added 0.8%.Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) fell 0.7%, iShares US Healthcare (IYH) declined 0.8%, and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) was 0.7% lower. IShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) shed 0.9%.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) lost 0.5%. Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) and iShares US Industrials (IYJ) also declined.CryptocurrencyIn midday activity, bitcoin (BTC-USD) fell 0.9%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) slipped 1%, ProShares Ether ETF (EETH) eased 1.7%, and ProShares Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was down 0.9%.
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