-- 加拿大國家銀行表示,3月加拿大房屋銷售維持穩定,季減0.1%,先前已連續四個月下滑。 從區域層級來看,六個省份的房屋銷售季減:愛德華王子島省下降16.6%,新不倫瑞克省下降9.2%,阿爾伯塔省下降5.2%,新斯科細亞省下降3.5%,曼尼托巴省下降0.5%,不列顛哥倫比亞省下降0.4%。 相反,魁北克省的房屋銷售較上季成長0.4%,安大略省成長1.8%,薩斯喀徹溫省成長9.6%,紐芬蘭省成長10.0%。 該銀行指出,由於3月房屋銷售與上月持平,加拿大房地產市場的活躍度仍特別低迷,交易量比10年平均下降了17.3%。 加拿大國家銀行表示,人口下降、年初以來勞動市場表現疲軟、經濟不確定性、地緣政治不確定性等許多因素持續對房地產市場構成壓力。 該行指出,中東衝突甚至對加拿大房地產市場產生了溢出效應,由於市場預期通膨上升,債券殖利率也隨之走高,導致3月抵押貸款利率上漲。 展望未來,該行認為,如果圍繞美墨加協定(USMCA)續簽的貿易不確定性得到解決,今年稍後市場活動可能會有所回升。同時,春季旺季的交易量可能仍將保持低迷,因此加拿大國家銀行預測,2026年的交易量將比上年下降5%。
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