Financial Wire

Redfin表示,受戰爭和高成本打擊,待售房屋需求創12個月來最大降幅。

-- 根據Redfin週四發布的數據顯示,受中東衝突和高房價抑制需求的影響,美國待售房屋數量創下近一年來最大跌幅。 這家線上房地產經紀公司的數據顯示,截至週日的四周內,待售房屋數量年減4.1%,至86,665套。美國50個最大的都會區中,除7個以外,其餘所有地區的房屋銷售量均出現下滑,其中羅德島州普羅維登斯的降幅最大,約為18%。報告顯示,舊金山的房屋銷售量增幅最大,達9.6%。 Redfin在一份報告中指出:“潛在購房者之所以放棄購房計劃,部分原因是伊朗戰爭造成了廣泛的地緣政治和經濟不確定性,使一些美國人對大宗消費持謹慎態度。這也推高了抵押貸款利率。” Redfin引述房地美(Freddie Mac)的數據稱,截至週四的一周內,30年期固定抵押貸款的平均利率為6.3%,低於兩週前創下的六個月高點。報告顯示,截至週日的四周內,房屋銷售價格中位數為393,059美元,年增2.3%,創一年來最大漲幅。 Redfin引述ShowingTime的數據稱,自2026年初以來,截至週日,房屋參觀活動增加了11%,而一年前的增幅為40%。該經紀公司表示,這顯示購屋者的需求「異常疲軟」。 Redfin高級經紀人Stacey Bryant表示:“高利率並未嚇退高端買家,但對於預算較為緊張的買家來說,利率差異足以讓他們望而卻步。注重成本的買家也擔心汽油、食品和能源等其他商品價格上漲會擠佔他們的預算。” 自2月底美以與伊朗爆發戰爭以來,能源價格飆升,關鍵的霍爾木茲海峽實際上已被封鎖。白宮對與伊朗達成協議持樂觀態度,並指出第二輪談判很可能在巴基斯坦舉行。同時,華盛頓和德黑蘭之間為期兩週的停火協議仍然有效。 Redfin表示:“未來幾週,抵押貸款利率可能會上下波動,具體取決於伊朗戰爭的走向、談判結果以及油價。”

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