-- 独立研究机构CFRA向提供了以下研究报告。CFRA分析师总结如下:淡水河谷公布了2026年第一季度(运营)业绩,表现稳健。铁矿石产量达6970万吨(同比增长3.0%),能源转型金属产量实现两位数增长,其中铜产量达10.23万吨(同比增长12.5%),镍产量达4.93万吨(同比增长12.3%)。核心资产的业绩均创下多年来的新高,其中S11D矿再创佳绩,东南系统产量在Capanema矿产能提升的推动下飙升19.2%。我们认为,这一运营势头验证了淡水河谷的资本战略,以及其在能源转型金属领域创造长期价值的战略布局。管理层维持了2026年的业绩指引,预计随着Capanema矿达到满负荷运转,铁矿石产量将达到3.35亿吨至3.45亿吨目标的上限。铜价同比飙升47.8%至每吨13,143美元,铁矿石溢价也上涨了29.2%,这体现了投资组合优化带来的效益。我们认为,随着Novo Carajas项目的推进,基本金属正日益成为重要的价值驱动因素,但项目执行情况和铁矿石溢价的可持续性仍是需要重点关注的方面。
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