-- 週一,由於美伊停火協議本週即將到期,兩國衝突明顯升級,油價上漲。 西德州中質原油價格上漲4.7%,至每桶86.43美元;布蘭特原油價格上漲4.6%,至每桶94.52美元。 上週五,伊朗宣布霍爾木茲海峽開放,這是美國的關鍵訴求,油價因此暴跌。然而,德黑蘭於週六重新控制了該水道。雙方均指責對方違反了將於週二到期的為期兩週的停火協議。 美國總統川普在Truth Social上發文稱,美國海軍週日扣押了一艘試圖突破海上封鎖的伊朗船。 「中東局勢再次令油價劇烈波動,看似緩和的局面迅速演變為局勢再度升級,」荷蘭國際集團(ING)大宗商品策略主管沃倫·帕特森週一在一份報告中指出。 美國正派遣談判代表前往巴基斯坦舉行第二輪和平談判,但伊朗表示不打算參與。 由於中東衝突擾亂了霍爾木茲海峽的運輸,能源價格飆升。霍爾木茲海峽是全球最重要的原油運輸咽喉要道。 「美國扣押了一艘懸掛伊朗國旗的船隻後,人們對原定的和平談判能否舉行產生了懷疑,」帕特森表示。
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