Financial Wire

多伦多证券交易所中午下跌27点

-- 由于中东和平前景黯淡,多伦多证券交易所午盘下跌27点。 受贵金属价格下跌的影响,矿业板块表现最差,下跌0.5%。 医疗保健和能源板块表现最佳,分别上涨2%和0.9%。 经济方面,市场关注的焦点是3月份加拿大消费者物价指数(CPI)的公布。 加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)指出,3月份CPI环比上涨2.4%,其中未经季节性调整的环比涨幅为0.9%(经季节性调整后为0.5%),略低于市场普遍预期(2.6%),但仍较上月的1.8%大幅上涨。 CIBC表示:“大家都知道,由于汽油价格上涨,3月份通胀率飙升,唯一的问题是涨幅究竟有多高?”该银行补充道:“事实证明,总体通胀率的增幅并未如预期般高,除燃油价格飙升外,核心通胀指标仍未显示出明显的通胀压力。能源价格上涨对核心通胀指标的影响可能会在夏季临近时更加明显,尤其是在机票等领域,但加拿大经济的疲软态势应能阻止这些指标过度加速上涨,从而使加拿大央行在2026年之前继续按兵不动。” 加拿大皇家银行(RBC)认为,尽管部分物价组成部分,特别是食品杂货价格和租金,仍远高于去年同期水平,但3月份的报告强化了其观点,即近期油价上涨可能会在短期内推高总体通胀率,但不太可能重新引发更广泛的通胀压力。RBC表示,加拿大央行将密切关注通胀预期,但同时指出,核心物价增长放缓也让央行有更大的灵活性,可以同时关注当前经济形势依然疲软、失业率仍然居高不下的情况。 在股票方面,Rupert Resources (RUP.TO) 股价飙升 65%,达到 11.86 美元的历史新高,此前该公司宣布将被 Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM.TO) 收购,该交易对公司的估值为 29 亿美元。

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Sector Update: Financial

Financial stocks were mixed in late Monday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index decreasing 0.1% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) adding 0.3%.The Philadelphia Housing Index was rising 0.7%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) was up 0.2%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) was climbing 3.3% to $76,265, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries was slightly higher at 4.25%.In corporate news, Intercontinental Exchange-backed (ICE) predictions site Polymarket is in talks to raise about $400 million at a valuation of roughly $15 billion, including the new proceeds, The Information reported. Intercontinental Exchange shares were down 0.3%.

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US-Iran Ceasefire Likely to be Extended, Macquarie Says

The US-Iran ceasefire may be extended by up to two weeks, though it will take much longer to hammer out a complete peace agreement, Macquarie Group said in a note on Monday.Iran took back control the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday after opening the waterway to commercial vessels on Friday. The US and Iran have accused each other of violating a two-week ceasefire announced April 7.The US Navy on Sunday seized an Iranian-flagged vessel that tried to move past a naval blockade, President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post.The US is sending negotiators to Pakistan for a second round of peace talks, though Iran said it doesn't plan to participate in those negotiations. Trump told Bloomberg News Monday he's unlikely to extend the ceasefire and that the Strait of Hormuz would stay blockaded until a deal is reached."At the very least, the current two-week ceasefire may be extended this week for another one or two weeks," Thierry Wizman, global foreign exchange and rates strategist at Macquarie, said. "But a fully-formed peace agreement will take much longer."The peace process is likely to be "long and jagged," based on historical precedents set by other similar deals, Wizman said."We don't expect that this process will be any different, and it may last several weeks, if not months, before the final contours are inked and agreed to," he said.Financial markets were largely stable this morning, suggesting traders continued to bet on the prospect of reaching "a permanent deal within a multi-week timeframe," Wizman said.

Sectors

Sector Update: Health Care

Health care stocks declined late Monday afternoon, with the NYSE Health Care Index down 0.8% and the State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) shedding 1%.The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) decreased 0.4%.In corporate news, Tvardi Therapeutics (TVRD) shares fell 4.1% after Barclays downgraded the company's stock to underweight from equalweight and adjusted the price target to $3 from $4.

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