-- 加拿大央行週一發布第一季商業調查(BOS)和消費者調查(CSCE)後,德斯賈丁斯表示,儘管受中東衝突影響,短期通膨預期上昇在情理之中,但長期預期基本保持穩定,即使是那些在全球油價飆升後參與調查的受訪者也如此。 加拿大央行指出,由於企業預期家庭可自由支配支出將會減少,許多公司表示,它們將更難將更高的投入成本轉嫁給消費者。 德斯賈丁斯指出,在這方面,全國各地的消費者都預期全球油價上漲對加拿大經濟的淨影響將是負面的,許多家庭因此減少了支出計畫。 德斯賈丁斯補充道,因此,儘管通膨預期的演變仍值得密切關注,但央行官員在脆弱的經濟環境下面臨一些嚴峻的權衡取捨。 由於掌握的資訊有限,德斯賈丁斯預計加拿大央行下週將發布報告,稱現在判斷最終是否需要採取任何行動還為時過早。儘管如此,德斯賈丁銀行認為,即使油價在未來幾週內仍將保持高位,決策者仍將在今年剩餘時間內維持利率不變。 該銀行表示,調查問卷中的許多其他回應似乎是在中東戰爭爆發之前提交的,因此這些回應現在已經“過時”,傳遞的資訊量也相應減少。
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