-- イランがホルムズ海峡を再び封鎖したことを受け、月曜日のWTI原油価格は6.9%急騰した。米国はイランの港湾封鎖解除を拒否し、イランの貨物船を銃撃・拿捕した。 5月渡しのWTI原油は5.76ドル高の1バレル89.61ドルで取引を終え、6月渡しのブレント原油は4.74ドル高の95.12ドルで引けた。 イランがホルムズ海峡を一時的に再開したことで、価格は金曜日に急落した。ホルムズ海峡は、ペルシャ湾岸諸国が供給する世界の石油需要の20%を占める要衝である。しかし、米国がイランの港湾封鎖解除を拒否したため、イランはその後再び海峡の通行を拒否した。 米国は和平交渉のため、パキスタンに交渉団を派遣している。イランはまだ公式には出席を表明していないが、ウォール・ストリート・ジャーナル紙によると、パキスタンは交渉に当局者を派遣すると伝えられている。両国間の停戦は明日期限切れとなり、トランプ米大統領は合意に至らなければイランの民間インフラを攻撃すると再び脅迫している。 「トレーダーたちは、イランがホルムズ海峡を再開したとの見方で週末を迎えたが、イラン革命防衛隊(IRGC)が、イラン関連船舶に対する米国の封鎖は火曜日に期限切れとなる停戦協定に違反すると主張したことで、数時間後には事実上再び閉鎖された。米海軍がイラン船舶を攻撃・拿捕したことで価格は上昇を続け、短期的な外交的進展への信頼はさらに損なわれた」とサクソバンクは記している。 ホルムズ海峡の閉鎖は、史上最大のエネルギー供給ショックを引き起こし、原油価格、ガソリン価格、ディーゼル価格を押し上げ、航空燃料の広範な不足を招いている。 「金融市場では交渉、改善、解決が進んでいる一方で、現物市場は日ごとに悪化しており、乖離が生じている。現物石油の流れは、輸送の混乱、航海時間の長期化、運賃と保険料の高騰によって依然として制約を受けている」と、SEBリサーチの商品担当チーフアナリスト、ビャルネ・シールドロップ氏は記している。
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