Financial Wire

瑞銀表示,大多數軟線零售商預計將達到或超過季度獲利預期。

-- 瑞銀證券週一表示,預計大多數美國軟線零售商即將公佈的季度財報將符合或高於華爾街的預期,同時,如果中東衝突盡快結束,消費者支出可能會顯著增長。 瑞銀分析師傑伊·索爾(Jay Sole)在致客戶的報告中指出,該券商本月前兩週進行的一項調查顯示,儘管受到2月底爆發的美以伊戰爭的不利影響,消費者的支出意願依然“良好”,尤其是在服裝和鞋類方面。 瑞銀表示:“我們認為市場高估了高油價對軟線公司利潤率的負面影響。我們預計大多數軟線公司在即將到來的財報季中將達到或超過(第一季)預期。” 這場戰爭影響了多個中東國家,由於霍爾木茲海峽(全球最重要的原油運輸咽喉要道)關閉,導致能源價格飆升。 根據追蹤美國燃油價格的旅遊組織AAA的數據顯示,週一美國零售汽油平均價格為每加侖4.042美元,而去年同期為3.151美元。 瑞銀分析師週一表示:“中東衝突和汽油價格上漲在一定程度上影響了美國消費者對經濟的看法(環比而言)。然而,數據顯示,如果中東衝突盡快結束,汽油價格恢復到衝突前水平,美國消費者支出有望大幅增長。這是我們仍然看好該股的主要原因。” 瑞銀表示,他們看好並給予「買入」評級的軟線股包括On Holding (ONON)、Deckers Outdoor (DECK)、Gildan Activewear (GIL)、Burlington Stores (BURL)、Levi Strauss (LEVI)、Ralph Lauren (RL)和TJX (TJX)。該券商在報告中表示,他們更看好這些股票,而非Nike (NKE) 和露露檸檬 (LULU) 等幾家知名公司。 分析師表示:“我們認為,市場嚴重低估了人工智慧對軟線公司銷售額和利潤率的積極影響。” 週六,伊朗重新控制了霍爾木茲海峽,此前伊朗於週五暫時開放該水道供商船通行。美國和伊朗互相指責對方違反了4月7日宣布的為期兩週的停火協議,導致中東局勢陷入僵局。

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