-- 週一盤後交易中,受氣溫下降的天氣預報支撐,美國天然氣期貨維持了部分日內漲幅,連續第四個交易日上漲。 近月亨利樞紐天然氣合約和連續合約均小漲0.07%,至每百萬英熱單位2.676美元。 週一,近月合約的交易區間為每百萬英熱單位2.672美元至2.746美元。 氣溫預報轉冷後,受天氣影響的需求預期走強。根據Barchart報道,天氣集團預測,4月25日至29日美國西部氣溫將低於平均水平,4月30日至5月4日美國東部氣溫也將低於平均水平。能源買家指南也指出,未來兩週氣溫普遍低於正常水平,但同時指出,這種異常情況更有可能限制初冬的冷氣需求,而不是顯著增加供暖需求。 根據Barchart引述彭博新能源財經(BNEF)的數據報道,供應方面,美國天然氣日均產量為1,091億立方英尺,較去年同期成長2%。需求量預計為728億立方英尺/日,年增13.2%;液化天然氣(LNG)原料氣流量預估為203億立方英尺/日,較前一週增加3.8%。 Gelber & Associates的分析師表示,地緣政治的不確定性,尤其是中東地區的局勢以及霍爾木茲海峽的航運風險,加劇了全球天然氣市場的波動,儘管基本面疲軟,但仍間歇性地支撐了亨利樞紐天然氣價格。 該公司表示:「儘管如此,此次上漲是從低位底部開始的。」並補充說,市場仍然將此次上漲視為戰術性波動,而非持續上漲的開始,3美元/百萬英熱單位(MMBtu)的價位仍然是關鍵阻力位。
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