-- 周一盘后交易中,受气温下降的天气预报支撑,美国天然气期货维持了部分日内涨幅,连续第四个交易日上涨。 近月亨利枢纽天然气合约和连续合约均小幅上涨0.07%,至每百万英热单位2.676美元。 周一,近月合约的交易区间为每百万英热单位2.672美元至2.746美元。 气温预报转冷后,受天气影响的需求预期走强。据Barchart报道,天气集团预测,4月25日至29日美国西部气温将低于平均水平,4月30日至5月4日美国东部气温也将低于平均水平。能源买家指南也指出,未来两周气温普遍低于正常水平,但同时指出,这种异常情况更有可能限制初冬的制冷需求,而不是显著增加供暖需求。 据Barchart援引彭博新能源财经(BNEF)的数据报道,供应方面,美国天然气日均产量为1091亿立方英尺,同比增长2%。需求量预计为728亿立方英尺/日,同比增长13.2%;液化天然气(LNG)原料气流量预计为203亿立方英尺/日,较前一周增长3.8%。 Gelber & Associates的分析师表示,地缘政治的不确定性,尤其是中东地区的局势以及霍尔木兹海峡的航运风险,加剧了全球天然气市场的波动,尽管基本面疲软,但仍间歇性地支撑了亨利枢纽天然气价格。 该公司表示:“尽管如此,此次上涨是从低位底部开始的。”并补充说,市场仍然将此次上涨视为战术性波动,而非持续上涨的开始,3美元/百万英热单位(MMBtu)的价位仍然是关键阻力位。
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