Financial Wire

Gold Falls As Dollar and Yields Rise as Iran Again Closes the Strait of Hormuz

-- Gold traded lower early on Monday as the dollar rose while hopes for an end to the war on Iran faded after Iran on Friday opened and then closed the Strait of Hormuz, pushing up oil prices and the dollar on worries over higher inflation and interest rates.

Gold for May delivery was last seen down $54.90 to US$4,824.70 per ounce.

Gold rose on Friday after Iran briefly reopened the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint for 20% of daily global oil demand supplied by Persian Gulf nations. However, later it again refused to permit transit through the waterway as the United States declined to end its blockade of Iran's ports.

The United States is sending negotiators to Pakistan for peace talks but The Guardian reported Iran has no plans to attend after the U.S. Navy disabled and seized a Iranian cargo ship in the Gulf over the weekend. A ceasefire between the two countries ends tomorrow, with U.S. President Trump again threatening to attack Iranian civilian infrastructure unless a deal is reached.

The closure of the Strait has produced the largest-ever energy supply shock, pushing up physical oil prices along with gasoline and diesel costs and causing widespread shortages of aviation fuel, raising inflation and concerns central banks will need to hike interest rates in response.

"The latest weakness has been driven by renewed dollar strength and fresh concerns about energy-led inflation. Gold and silver, like many other commodities, remain highly sensitive to developments in the Middle East given the knock-on impact on the dollar, bond yields, and US rate expectations," Saxo Bank wrote in a note to clients.

The dollar rose early, with the ICE dollar index last seen up 0.14 points to 98.24 points. Treasury yields were also higher, with the U.S. two-year note last seen paying 3.739%, up 2.7 basis points, while the yield on the 10-year note was up 1.5 points to 4.266%.

相關文章

Australia

市場動態:Rivian位於伊利諾州的工廠遭龍捲風襲擊;暫無人員傷亡報告

根據CNBC週一報道,Rivian Automotive(RIVN)位於伊利諾伊州中部的工廠週末遭遇龍捲風襲擊,受損嚴重。報導引用了執行長RJ Scaringe週日晚間發給員工的內部資訊。 報導稱,龍捲風襲擊了Rivian R2電動車的零件倉庫區域,該車型預計將於今年春季上市。 報道稱,目前尚無人員傷亡報告,受損區域的生產營運預計將於本週恢復。 Rivian尚未回覆的置評請求。 (市場動態新聞來自與全球市場專業人士的對話。我們認為這些資訊來自可靠來源,但可能包含傳聞和推測。我們無法保證其準確性。)Price: $16.86, Change: $-0.38, Percent Change: -2.18%

$RiVN
US Markets

Redfin表示,房屋賣家數量超過買家數量的比例接近歷史最高水準。

Redfin週一發布的一項調查顯示,3月美國房屋賣家數量接近買家數量,這一比例接近歷史最高水準。 據這家線上房地產經紀公司稱,上個月房屋賣家數量比買家數量高出約43%,而去年12月的差距略高於45%,創歷史新高。 3月份的差距比去年同期的28%上升。 Redfin的數據顯示,3月市場上的購屋者數量約為139萬,與上月相比變化不大,但年減了10%。賣家數量較上季和年比均略有下降,接近200萬。 Redfin的報告指出:“房屋賣家之所以減少掛牌出售,部分原因是買家需求疲軟。一些賣家在房屋長期無人問津後選擇撤回掛牌,而另一些賣家則在看到附近房屋以低於要價的價格售出後,乾脆放棄掛牌出售。” 根據Redfin追蹤的美國49個都會區中,3月有38個是買方市場,而去年同期為29個。 Redfin表示,邁阿密、納許維爾、德州奧斯汀、聖安東尼奧和拉斯維加斯的賣家數量是買家的兩倍多。 Redfin高級房地產經紀人芭芭拉·庫珀表示:“高額的房產稅、不斷上漲的保險費用以及對就業保障的擔憂,使得購房者非常挑剔。市場上的買家想要的是各方面都符合要求的拎包入住的房子,而且由於我們有大量的房源,他們可以耐心等待而不妥協。” Redfin週四表示,由於中東衝突和高昂的成本抑制了需求,美國待售房屋數量出現了近一年來的最大降幅。 全美住宅建築商協會和富國銀行週三表示,受經濟不確定性以及建築材料成本和利率上漲的影響,美國房屋建築商信心本月跌至去年9月以來的最低水平。

Australia

加拿大皇家銀行表示,收購 Comerica 後,第五三銀行預計將實現穩定成長。

加拿大皇家銀行資本市場(RBC Capital Markets)週一透過電子郵件發布的一份報告稱,在首席執行官蒂姆·斯賓塞(Tim Spence)的領導下,五三銀行(Fifth Third Bancorp,股票代碼:FITB)憑藉其穩健的資本紀律和對康美銀行(Comerica)的成功收購,已做好實現“穩定”增長的準備,這將為股東的長期盈利價值的長期價值。 該機構表示,此次交易完成時未造成任何“有形賬面價值稀釋”,並補充說,每股有形賬面價值環比增長1.2%,同比增長15%,達到22.88美元。報告指出,此次合併使五三銀行的總資產立即突破3,000億美元大關。 報告稱,雖然公佈的每股收益0.15美元受到一次性合併相關費用的影響,但調整後的每股收益0.83美元反映了合併後業務的「潛在盈利能力」。 該機構指出,市場整合工作進展順利,預計在勞動節週末完成全面的「系統轉換」。報告稱,該銀行管理層預計到2026年將實現3.6億美元的“淨成本節約”,並補充說,該銀行在德克薩斯州的發展勢頭尤為強勁,客戶響應率是傳統市場的三倍。 加拿大皇家銀行維持對五三銀行(Fifth Third Bancorp)的「跑贏大盤」評級,目標價為57美元。Price: $50.90, Change: $+0.56, Percent Change: +1.11%

$FITB